Tue, 7 Jul 2026 · 16:00 UTCRound of 16Mercedes-Benz Stadium

Argentina vs Egypt prediction

Argentina crest
ArgentinaARG
PREDICTED2-0most-likely score63% confidence
Egypt crest
EgyptEGY
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Outcome (1X2) accuracy 63% · 52 settledPast results do not guarantee future outcomes

Win probability

63%
21%
16%
ARG win 63%Draw 21%EGY win 16%

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Model read

2.00.9
Expected goals
55%
Over 2.5
51%
Both score
63%
Confidence

Recent form

Argentina

WWWW

Egypt

DDWD

Analysis

Model: poisson-v1.2

The model forecasts Argentina as clear favourites with a 63% win probability and a most-likely scoreline of 2-0, supported by an expected goals advantage of 2.0 to 0.9. Argentina's recent form of four consecutive wins contrasts sharply with Egypt's inconsistent record of one win in four matches, reinforcing the projection of a dominant performance. There is a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance of both teams scoring, indicating the model expects an open contest despite Argentina's superiority.

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xgprophet · model poisson-v1.2 · predictions read from cached data, never live odds