Sun, 12 Jul 2026 · 01:00 UTCQuarter-finalsNeutral venue

Argentina vs Switzerland prediction

Argentina crest
ArgentinaARG
PREDICTED1-1most-likely score42% confidence
Switzerland crest
SwitzerlandSWI
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Outcome (1X2) accuracy 62% · 55 settledPast results do not guarantee future outcomes

Win probability

42%
25%
33%
ARG win 42%Draw 25%SWI win 33%

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Model read

1.41.2
Expected goals
50%
Over 2.5
54%
Both score
42%
Confidence

Recent form

Argentina

WWWWW

Switzerland

DWWWD

Analysis

Model: poisson-v1.2

The model forecasts a closely contested match, with Argentina favoured at 42% win probability but Switzerland presenting genuine threat at 33%, while a 1-1 draw is the most likely outcome at 26% probability. Expected goals of 1.4 for Argentina and 1.2 for Switzerland suggest an evenly balanced encounter, with both teams to score predicted at 54% and over 2.5 goals at 50%. Argentina's recent form shows five consecutive wins compared to Switzerland's mixed record of three wins and two draws, though the model's probabilities indicate this advantage is modest.

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xgprophet · model poisson-v1.2 · predictions read from cached data, never live odds