Fri, 3 Jul 2026 · 18:00 UTCRound of 32Neutral venue

Australia vs Egypt prediction

Australia crest
AustraliaAUS
PREDICTED0-1most-likely score41% confidence
Egypt crest
EgyptEGY
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Outcome (1X2) accuracy 64% · 25 settledPast results do not guarantee future outcomes

Win probability

29%
30%
41%
AUS win 29%Draw 30%EGY win 41%

Model read

0.91.1
Expected goals
33%
Over 2.5
40%
Both score
41%
Confidence

Recent form

Australia

DLW

Egypt

DWD

Analysis

Model: poisson-v1.2

The model forecasts Egypt as narrow favourites, assigning them a 41% win probability compared to Australia's 29%, with a draw at 30%. Expected goals favour Egypt slightly at 1.1 to Australia's 0.9, and the most-likely scoreline is a 0-1 away victory, though both teams scoring is projected at 40% likelihood. A low-scoring contest is anticipated, with under 2.5 goals favoured at 67% probability.

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xgprophet · model poisson-v1.2 · predictions read from cached data, never live odds