Fri, 3 Jul 2026 · 18:00 UTCRound of 32AT&T Stadium

Australia 11 Egypt result

Full-time result

Australia11Egypt✗ Outcome incorrect

xgprophet predicted 0-1 · outcome: Egypt

Australia crest
AustraliaAUS
PREDICTED0-1most-likely score41% confidence
Egypt crest
EgyptEGY
Post on X →
Outcome (1X2) accuracy 63% · 63 settledPast results do not guarantee future outcomes

Prediction vs actual

0-1
Predicted score
11
Actual score
0.91.1
Pre-match xG
Outcome call

The match produced 2 goals, closely matching our pre-match expected goals estimate. Our Poisson model projected Australia to generate 0.9xG and Egypt 1.1xG. Australia's 1 goal came inline with their pre-match projection; Egypt's 1 came against a projection of 1.1xG.

View our full accuracy record →

Win probability

29%
30%
41%
AUS win 29%Draw 30%EGY win 41%

What is 1X2? →

Model read

0.91.1
Expected goals
33%
Over 2.5
40%
Both score
41%
Confidence

Recent form

Australia

DDLW

Egypt

LDDWD

Analysis

Model: poisson-v1.2

The model forecasts Egypt as narrow favourites, assigning them a 41% win probability compared to Australia's 29%, with a draw at 30%. Expected goals favour Egypt slightly at 1.1 to Australia's 0.9, and the most-likely scoreline is a 0-1 away victory, though both teams scoring is projected at 40% likelihood. A low-scoring contest is anticipated, with under 2.5 goals favoured at 67% probability.

18+

AI forecast for information and entertainment only — not betting advice and no guarantee of outcome. Please gamble responsibly. If gambling affects you or someone you know, support is available at GamCare (0808 8020 133) and GAMSTOP.

xgprophet · model poisson-v1.2 · predictions read from cached data, never live odds