Who will win Belgium vs Senegal?

xgprophet's model favours Belgium at 52% (home 52% / draw 21% / away 27%).

What is the predicted score for Belgium vs Senegal?

The model's most-likely scoreline is 2-1.

PREDICTIONS/FIFA World Cup 2026

Wed, 1 Jul 2026 · 20:00 UTCRound of 32Lumen Field

Belgium vs Senegal prediction

BelgiumBEL

PREDICTED2-1most-likely score52% confidence

SenegalSEN

Belgium predictions →Senegal predictions →

Outcome (1X2) accuracy 61% · 31 settledPast results do not guarantee future outcomes

Win probability

52%

21%

27%

BEL win 52%Draw 21%SEN win 27%

What is 1X2? →

Model read

2.1–1.4

Expected goals

68%

Over 2.5

66%

Both score

52%

Confidence

Recent form

Belgium

WDD

Senegal

WLL

Analysis

Model: poisson-v1.2

The model forecasts Belgium as slight favourites with a 52% win probability, predicting a most-likely scoreline of 2-1, supported by an expected goals advantage of 2.1 to 1.4. Both teams to score is forecast at 66%, with over 2.5 goals at 68%, suggesting an open match despite Belgium's superior recent form of one win in three compared to Senegal's one win in three.

Explore more

All tips this weekend → · BTTS tips (66%) → · Over 2.5 tips (68%) → · What is xG? →

More FIFA World Cup 2026 predictions

All fixtures →

19:00Sun, 28 Jun 2026South Africa0-1Canada 17:00Mon, 29 Jun 2026Brazil1-0Japan 20:30Mon, 29 Jun 2026Germany2-0Paraguay 01:00Tue, 30 Jun 2026Netherlands2-1Morocco 17:00Tue, 30 Jun 2026Ivory Coast1-1Norway

18+

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xgprophet · model poisson-v1.2 · predictions read from cached data, never live odds