PREDICTIONS/FIFA World Cup 2026
Wed, 24 Jun 2026 · 19:00 UTCGroup Stage - 3Lumen Field

Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Qatar prediction

Bosnia & Herzegovina crest
Bosnia & HerzegovinaBOS
PREDICTED1-1most-likely score51% confidence
Qatar crest
QatarQAT

Win probability

51%
22%
27%
BOS win 51%Draw 22%QAT win 27%

Model read

2.01.4
Expected goals
66%
Over 2.5
65%
Both score
51%
Confidence

Recent form

Bosnia & Herzegovina

LD

Qatar

LD

Analysis

Limited data — early in the competition

The model forecasts a competitive encounter, with Bosnia & Herzegovina narrowly favoured at 51% to win, though a draw at 22% remains plausible given both sides' recent mixed form. Expected goals of 2.0 for Bosnia & Herzegovina against 1.4 for Qatar suggest a slight attacking advantage, with the model assessing a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and a 65% chance of both teams scoring. The most likely outcome is a 1-1 draw, though the forecast should be treated with caution given limited recent data for both nations.

18+

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xgprophet · model poisson-v1.2 · predictions read from cached data, never live odds