Mon, 29 Jun 2026 · 17:00 UTCRound of 32Neutral venue

Brazil vs Japan prediction

Brazil crest
BrazilBRA
PREDICTED1-0most-likely score54% confidence
Japan crest
JapanJAP

Win probability

54%
24%
22%
BRA win 54%Draw 24%JAP win 22%

Model read

1.71.0
Expected goals
49%
Over 2.5
50%
Both score
54%
Confidence

Recent form

Brazil

WWD

Japan

DWD

Analysis

Model: poisson-v1.2

The model forecasts Brazil as favourites with a 54% win probability and a most-likely scoreline of 1-0, supported by an expected goals advantage of 1.7 to 1.0. A draw is given a 24% chance, whilst Japan's probability of victory stands at 22%, reflecting their recent mixed form of one win and two draws. The match is closely balanced for both teams to score, at 50%, with the over 2.5 goals market at 49%.

18+

AI forecast for information and entertainment only — not betting advice and no guarantee of outcome. Please gamble responsibly. If gambling affects you or someone you know, support is available at GamCare (0808 8020 133) and GAMSTOP.

xgprophet · model poisson-v1.2 · predictions read from cached data, never live odds