Sat, 27 Jun 2026 · 00:00 UTCGroup Stage - 3NRG Stadium

Cape Verde Islands 00 Saudi Arabia result

Full-time result

Cape Verde Islands00Saudi Arabia✗ Outcome incorrect

xgprophet predicted 1-0 · outcome: Cape Verde Islands

Cape Verde Islands crest
Cape Verde IslandsCAP
PREDICTED1-0most-likely score54% confidence
Saudi Arabia crest
Saudi ArabiaSAU
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Outcome (1X2) accuracy 63% · 63 settledPast results do not guarantee future outcomes

Prediction vs actual

1-0
Predicted score
00
Actual score
1.60.9
Pre-match xG
Outcome call

The match produced 0 goals, below our pre-match expected goals estimate of 2.5. Our Poisson model projected Cape Verde Islands to generate 1.6xG and Saudi Arabia 0.9xG. Cape Verde Islands's 0 goals came falling short of their pre-match xG projection; Saudi Arabia's 0 came against a projection of 0.9xG.

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Win probability

54%
24%
22%
CAP win 54%Draw 24%SAU win 22%

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Model read

1.60.9
Expected goals
48%
Over 2.5
49%
Both score
54%
Confidence

Recent form

Cape Verde Islands

LDDD

Saudi Arabia

DLD

Analysis

Limited data — early in the competition

The xgprophet model forecasts Cape Verde Islands as slight favourites with a 54% win probability, predicting a most-likely scoreline of 1-0, though the 50% probability of both teams scoring suggests the match could develop into a more open contest. Cape Verde Islands hold an expected goals advantage of 1.7 to 1.0, with a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals. Both teams arrive with mixed recent form, making this a relatively close matchup according to the available data.

18+

AI forecast for information and entertainment only — not betting advice and no guarantee of outcome. Please gamble responsibly. If gambling affects you or someone you know, support is available at GamCare (0808 8020 133) and GAMSTOP.

xgprophet · model poisson-v1.2 · predictions read from cached data, never live odds