PREDICTIONS/FIFA World Cup 2026
Wed, 24 Jun 2026 · 02:00 UTCGroup Stage - 2Estadio Akron

Colombia 1–0 Congo DR result

Full-time result

Colombia1–0Congo DR✓ Outcome correct

xgprophet predicted 1-1 · outcome: Colombia

Colombia crest
ColombiaCOL
PREDICTED1-1most-likely score57% confidence
Congo DR crest
Congo DRCON
Colombia predictions →Congo DR predictions →
Post on X →
Outcome (1X2) accuracy 63% · 63 settledPast results do not guarantee future outcomes

Prediction vs actual

1-1
Predicted score
1–0
Actual score
1.9–1.1
Pre-match xG
✓
Outcome call

The match produced 1 goal, below our pre-match expected goals estimate of 3.0. Our Poisson model projected Colombia to generate 1.9xG and Congo DR 1.1xG. Colombia's 1 goal came falling short of their pre-match xG projection; Congo DR's 0 came against a projection of 1.1xG.

View our full accuracy record →

Win probability

57%
22%
21%
COL win 57%Draw 22%CON win 21%

What is 1X2? →

Model read

1.9–1.1
Expected goals
58%
Over 2.5
57%
Both score
57%
Confidence

Recent form

Colombia

DWDWW

Congo DR

LWLD

Analysis

Limited data — early in the competition

The xgprophet model forecasts a competitive encounter, with Colombia favoured at 57% win probability but a 1-1 draw rated as the most likely scoreline. Colombia's expected goals of 1.9 exceed Congo DR's 1.1, though the model suggests a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and a 57% chance both teams score, reflecting uncertainty typical of fixtures with limited recent data.

18+

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xgprophet · model poisson-v1.2 · predictions read from cached data, never live odds