Colombia 0–0 Portugal result
Full-time result
xgprophet predicted 1-1 · outcome: Portugal
Prediction vs actual
The match produced 0 goals, below our pre-match expected goals estimate of 2.7. Our Poisson model projected Colombia to generate 1.1xG and Portugal 1.6xG. Colombia's 0 goals came falling short of their pre-match xG projection; Portugal's 0 came against a projection of 1.6xG.
View our full accuracy record →Win probability
Model read
Recent form
Colombia
Portugal
Analysis
Limited data — early in the competitionThe model forecasts a closely contested match between Colombia and Portugal, with a most-likely outcome of 1-1 and win probabilities of 38% for Colombia and 37% for Portugal. Both sides are projected to generate 1.5 expected goals each, with the model suggesting a 59% probability of both teams scoring and a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals. Colombia arrive on the back of a recent win whilst Portugal drew their last fixture, though limited recent data means these predictions should be treated with appropriate caution.
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xgprophet · model poisson-v1.2 · predictions read from cached data, never live odds