PREDICTIONS/FIFA World Cup 2026
Sat, 27 Jun 2026 · 23:30 UTCGroup Stage - 3Hard Rock Stadium

Colombia vs Portugal prediction

Colombia crest
ColombiaCOL
PREDICTED1-1most-likely score38% confidence
Portugal crest
PortugalPOR

Win probability

38%
25%
37%
COL win 38%Draw 25%POR win 37%

Model read

1.51.5
Expected goals
56%
Over 2.5
59%
Both score
38%
Confidence

Recent form

Colombia

W

Portugal

D

Analysis

Limited data — early in the competition

The model forecasts a closely contested match between Colombia and Portugal, with a most-likely outcome of 1-1 and win probabilities of 38% for Colombia and 37% for Portugal. Both sides are projected to generate 1.5 expected goals each, with the model suggesting a 59% probability of both teams scoring and a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals. Colombia arrive on the back of a recent win whilst Portugal drew their last fixture, though limited recent data means these predictions should be treated with appropriate caution.

18+

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xgprophet · model poisson-v1.2 · predictions read from cached data, never live odds