Croatia 2–1 Ghana result
Full-time result
xgprophet predicted 1-1 · outcome: Ghana
Prediction vs actual
The match produced 3 goals, above our pre-match expected goals estimate of 2.1. Our Poisson model projected Croatia to generate 1.0xG and Ghana 1.1xG. Croatia's 2 goals came exceeding their pre-match xG projection; Ghana's 1 came against a projection of 1.1xG.
View our full accuracy record →Win probability
Model read
Recent form
Croatia
Ghana
Analysis
Limited data — early in the competitionThe model forecasts Ghana as slight favourites with a 47% win probability compared to Croatia's 30%, though a draw at 23% remains plausible given the teams' comparable expected goals (Croatia 1.4, Ghana 1.8). The most-likely outcome is a 1-1 draw, with both teams to score predicted at 63% and over 2.5 goals at 62%, suggesting an open contest. Ghana arrive on the back of a recent win whilst Croatia are coming off a loss, though the limited recent data available means these predictions should be treated with appropriate caution.
AI forecast for information and entertainment only — not betting advice and no guarantee of outcome. Please gamble responsibly. If gambling affects you or someone you know, support is available at GamCare (0808 8020 133) and GAMSTOP.
xgprophet · model poisson-v1.2 · predictions read from cached data, never live odds