Curaçao 0–2 Ivory Coast result
Full-time result
xgprophet predicted 0-2 · outcome: Ivory Coast
Prediction vs actual
The match produced 2 goals, below our pre-match expected goals estimate of 3.0. Our Poisson model projected Curaçao to generate 0.8xG and Ivory Coast 2.2xG. Curaçao's 0 goals came falling short of their pre-match xG projection; Ivory Coast's 2 came against a projection of 2.2xG.
View our full accuracy record →Win probability
Model read
Recent form
Curaçao
Ivory Coast
Analysis
Limited data — early in the competitionThe model forecasts Ivory Coast as clear favourites, assigning them a 68% win probability with an expected goals advantage of 2.2 to 0.8. Curaçao's recent form includes a loss and draw, whilst Ivory Coast have mixed results from their last two matches, though the model's most-likely scoreline is a 0-2 away victory. There is considerable uncertainty given limited recent data, with a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and an even 50% chance both teams score.
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xgprophet · model poisson-v1.2 · predictions read from cached data, never live odds