Czechia 0–3 Mexico result
Full-time result
xgprophet predicted 0-1 · outcome: Mexico
Prediction vs actual
The match produced 3 goals, above our pre-match expected goals estimate of 2.3. Our Poisson model projected Czechia to generate 0.6xG and Mexico 1.7xG. Czechia's 0 goals came falling short of their pre-match xG projection; Mexico's 3 came against a projection of 1.7xG.
View our full accuracy record →Win probability
Model read
Recent form
Czechia
Mexico
Analysis
Limited data — early in the competitionThe model forecasts Mexico as clear favourites, assigning them a 62% win probability with an expected goals advantage of 1.7 to Czechia's 0.7, and a most-likely scoreline of 0-1. Czechia arrive with recent losses in their form, whilst Mexico come off consecutive wins, though the model notes limited recent data for both sides. A low-scoring contest is predicted, with under 2.5 goals favoured at 58% probability.
AI forecast for information and entertainment only — not betting advice and no guarantee of outcome. Please gamble responsibly. If gambling affects you or someone you know, support is available at GamCare (0808 8020 133) and GAMSTOP.
xgprophet · model poisson-v1.2 · predictions read from cached data, never live odds