England 0–0 Ghana result
Full-time result
xgprophet predicted 1-1 · outcome: England


Prediction vs actual
The match produced 0 goals, below our pre-match expected goals estimate of 3.1. Our Poisson model projected England to generate 1.9xG and Ghana 1.2xG. England's 0 goals came falling short of their pre-match xG projection; Ghana's 0 came against a projection of 1.2xG.
View our full accuracy record →Win probability
Model read
Recent form
England
Ghana
Analysis
Limited data — early in the competitionThe xgprophet model forecasts a competitive encounter, with England favoured at 55% win probability but Ghana presenting a genuine threat at 23%. Expected goals of 1.9 for England and 1.2 for Ghana suggest a narrow margin, with the model's most likely outcome a 1-1 draw, whilst both teams scoring is forecast at 60% probability. Given limited recent data availability, these projections should be treated as indicative rather than definitive.
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xgprophet · model poisson-v1.2 · predictions read from cached data, never live odds