PREDICTIONS/FIFA World Cup 2026
Mon, 22 Jun 2026 · 21:00 UTCGroup Stage - 2Lincoln Financial Field

France 3–0 Iraq result

Full-time result

France3–0Iraq✓ Outcome correct

xgprophet predicted 3-0 · outcome: France

France crest
FranceFRA
PREDICTED3-0most-likely score88% confidence
Iraq crest
IraqIRA
France predictions →Iraq predictions →
Post on X →
Outcome (1X2) accuracy 63% · 63 settledPast results do not guarantee future outcomes

Prediction vs actual

3-0
Predicted score
3–0
Actual score
3.7–0.8
Pre-match xG
✓
Outcome call

The match produced 3 goals, below our pre-match expected goals estimate of 4.5. Our Poisson model projected France to generate 3.7xG and Iraq 0.8xG. France's 3 goals came falling short of their pre-match xG projection; Iraq's 0 came against a projection of 0.8xG.

View our full accuracy record →

Win probability

88%
FRA win 88%Draw 8%IRA win 4%

What is 1X2? →

Model read

3.7–0.8
Expected goals
83%
Over 2.5
55%
Both score
88%
Confidence

Recent form

France

LLWWW

Iraq

LLL

Analysis

Limited data — early in the competition

xgprophet's model makes France the 88% favourite on neutral ground, projecting a most-likely scoreline of 3-0. Over 2.5 goals is rated at 83% and both teams to score at 55%.

18+

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xgprophet · model poisson-v1.2 · predictions read from cached data, never live odds