France 2–0 Morocco result
Full-time result
xgprophet predicted 1-0 · outcome: France
Prediction vs actual
The match produced 2 goals, closely matching our pre-match expected goals estimate. Our Poisson model projected France to generate 1.6xG and Morocco 0.8xG. France's 2 goals came inline with their pre-match projection; Morocco's 0 came against a projection of 0.8xG.
View our full accuracy record →Win probability
Model read
Recent form
France
Morocco
Analysis
Model: poisson-v1.2The model forecasts France as favourites with a 57% win probability and a most-likely scoreline of 1-0, supported by their superior expected goals output of 1.7 compared to Morocco's 0.8. France's recent form of five consecutive wins contrasts with Morocco's more mixed record of three wins and two draws, though both teams show attacking threat with a 46% probability of both scoring. The match carries a 45% chance of exceeding 2.5 goals, suggesting a competitive encounter despite France's statistical edge.
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xgprophet · model poisson-v1.2 · predictions read from cached data, never live odds