Who will win France vs Sweden?

xgprophet's model favours France at 81% (home 81% / draw 11% / away 8%).

What is the predicted score for France vs Sweden?

The model's most-likely scoreline is 3-1.

PREDICTIONS/FIFA World Cup 2026

Tue, 30 Jun 2026 · 21:00 UTCRound of 32Neutral venue

France vs Sweden prediction

FranceFRA

PREDICTED3-1most-likely score81% confidence

SwedenSWE

France predictions →Sweden predictions →

Outcome (1X2) accuracy 64% · 25 settledPast results do not guarantee future outcomes

Win probability

81%

FRA win 81%Draw 11%SWE win 8%

Model read

3.5–1.1

Expected goals

84%

Over 2.5

65%

Both score

81%

Confidence

Recent form

France

WWW

Sweden

DLW

Analysis

Model: poisson-v1.2

The xgprophet model forecasts France as strong favourites, assigning them an 81% win probability with a most-likely scoreline of 3-1. France's expected goals of 3.5 significantly exceed Sweden's 1.1, reflecting their superior recent form of three consecutive wins compared to Sweden's mixed record. The model suggests an 84% probability of over 2.5 goals and a 65% chance both teams score.

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18+

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xgprophet · model poisson-v1.2 · predictions read from cached data, never live odds