Who will win Germany vs Paraguay?

xgprophet's model favours Germany at 74% (home 74% / draw 16% / away 10%).

What is the predicted score for Germany vs Paraguay?

The model's most-likely scoreline is 2-0.

PREDICTIONS/FIFA World Cup 2026

Mon, 29 Jun 2026 · 20:30 UTCRound of 32Neutral venue

Germany vs Paraguay prediction

GermanyGER

PREDICTED2-0most-likely score74% confidence

ParaguayPAR

Germany predictions →Paraguay predictions →

Outcome (1X2) accuracy 64% · 25 settledPast results do not guarantee future outcomes

Win probability

74%

16%

GER win 74%Draw 16%PAR win 10%

Model read

2.6–0.9

Expected goals

67%

Over 2.5

54%

Both score

74%

Confidence

Recent form

Germany

LWW

Paraguay

DWL

Analysis

Model: poisson-v1.2

The xgprophet model forecasts Germany as clear favourites against Paraguay, with a most-likely scoreline of 2-0 and a 74% probability of a German victory. Expected goals of 2.6 for Germany and 0.9 for Paraguay suggest a significant attacking advantage, with the model assessing a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% probability of both teams scoring. Germany's recent form of one loss and two wins contrasts with Paraguay's mixed record of a draw, win and loss.

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18+

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xgprophet · model poisson-v1.2 · predictions read from cached data, never live odds