Ivory Coast 1–2 Norway result
Full-time result
xgprophet predicted 1-1 · outcome: Ivory Coast
Prediction vs actual
The match produced 3 goals, closely matching our pre-match expected goals estimate. Our Poisson model projected Ivory Coast to generate 1.8xG and Norway 1.5xG. Ivory Coast's 1 goal came falling short of their pre-match xG projection; Norway's 2 came against a projection of 1.5xG.
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Model read
Recent form
Ivory Coast
Norway
Analysis
Model: poisson-v1.2The xgprophet model forecasts a competitive encounter, with Ivory Coast favoured at 45% to win despite Norway's recent upturn in form, whilst a 1-1 draw is deemed most likely at 23% probability. Expected goals of 1.8 for Ivory Coast and 1.5 for Norway suggest an open match, with the model assigning 65% probability to both teams scoring and 64% to over 2.5 goals. Ivory Coast's mixed recent record contrasts with Norway's two consecutive victories, though the model's forecast reflects relatively balanced attacking potential between the sides.
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xgprophet · model poisson-v1.2 · predictions read from cached data, never live odds