Tue, 30 Jun 2026 · 17:00 UTCRound of 32Neutral venue

Ivory Coast vs Norway prediction

Ivory Coast crest
Ivory CoastIVO
PREDICTED1-1most-likely score45% confidence
Norway crest
NorwayNOR
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Outcome (1X2) accuracy 64% · 25 settledPast results do not guarantee future outcomes

Win probability

45%
23%
32%
IVO win 45%Draw 23%NOR win 32%

Model read

1.81.5
Expected goals
64%
Over 2.5
65%
Both score
45%
Confidence

Recent form

Ivory Coast

WLW

Norway

LWW

Analysis

Model: poisson-v1.2

The xgprophet model forecasts a competitive encounter, with Ivory Coast favoured at 45% to win despite Norway's recent upturn in form, whilst a 1-1 draw is deemed most likely at 23% probability. Expected goals of 1.8 for Ivory Coast and 1.5 for Norway suggest an open match, with the model assigning 65% probability to both teams scoring and 64% to over 2.5 goals. Ivory Coast's mixed recent record contrasts with Norway's two consecutive victories, though the model's forecast reflects relatively balanced attacking potential between the sides.

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xgprophet · model poisson-v1.2 · predictions read from cached data, never live odds