Tue, 23 Jun 2026 · 03:00 UTCGroup Stage - 2Levi's Stadium

Jordan 12 Algeria result

Full-time result

Jordan12Algeria✓ Outcome correct

xgprophet predicted 1-1 · outcome: Algeria

Jordan crest
JordanJOR
PREDICTED1-1most-likely score41% confidence
Algeria crest
AlgeriaALG
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Outcome (1X2) accuracy 63% · 63 settledPast results do not guarantee future outcomes

Prediction vs actual

1-1
Predicted score
12
Actual score
1.51.6
Pre-match xG
Outcome call

The match produced 3 goals, closely matching our pre-match expected goals estimate. Our Poisson model projected Jordan to generate 1.5xG and Algeria 1.6xG. Jordan's 1 goal came falling short of their pre-match xG projection; Algeria's 2 came against a projection of 1.6xG.

View our full accuracy record →

Win probability

35%
24%
41%
JOR win 35%Draw 24%ALG win 41%

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Model read

1.51.6
Expected goals
59%
Over 2.5
61%
Both score
41%
Confidence

Recent form

Jordan

LLL

Algeria

LDWL

Analysis

Limited data — early in the competition

xgprophet's model sees Jordan vs Algeria as finely balanced — 35% / 24% / 41% across home win, draw and away win — with a most-likely scoreline of 1-1. Over 2.5 goals is rated at 59% and both teams to score at 61%.

18+

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xgprophet · model poisson-v1.2 · predictions read from cached data, never live odds