Who will win Netherlands vs Morocco?

xgprophet's model favours Netherlands at 50% (home 50% / draw 21% / away 29%).

What is the predicted score for Netherlands vs Morocco?

The model's most-likely scoreline is 2-1.

PREDICTIONS/FIFA World Cup 2026

Tue, 30 Jun 2026 · 01:00 UTCRound of 32Neutral venue

Netherlands vs Morocco prediction

NetherlandsNET

PREDICTED2-1most-likely score50% confidence

MoroccoMOR

Netherlands predictions →Morocco predictions →

Win probability

50%

21%

29%

NET win 50%Draw 21%MOR win 29%

Model read

2.0–1.5

Expected goals

69%

Over 2.5

68%

Both score

50%

Confidence

Recent form

Netherlands

WWD

Morocco

WWD

Analysis

Model: poisson-v1.2

The model forecasts a competitive encounter with the Netherlands favoured at 50% win probability against Morocco's 29%, with a most-likely scoreline of 2-1 to the Dutch. Expected goals of 2.0 for the Netherlands and 1.5 for Morocco suggest an attacking contest, with the model assigning 69% probability to over 2.5 goals and 68% to both teams scoring. Both sides arrive in strong recent form with two wins apiece, though the Netherlands edge the xG metrics in this neutral-venue fixture.

18+

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xgprophet · model poisson-v1.2 · predictions read from cached data, never live odds