New Zealand 1–5 Belgium result
Full-time result
xgprophet predicted 0-1 · outcome: Belgium
Prediction vs actual
The match produced 6 goals, above our pre-match expected goals estimate of 2.6. Our Poisson model projected New Zealand to generate 0.8xG and Belgium 1.8xG. New Zealand's 1 goal came inline with their pre-match projection; Belgium's 5 came against a projection of 1.8xG.
View our full accuracy record →Win probability
Model read
Recent form
New Zealand
Belgium
Analysis
Limited data — early in the competitionThe model forecasts Belgium as clear favourites with a 60% win probability, predicting a most-likely scoreline of 0-1 and an expected goals advantage of 1.8 to 0.9. New Zealand have a 17% chance of victory with a 23% draw probability, whilst both teams scoring and over 2.5 goals are both assessed at around 48–49%. Both sides arrive with mixed recent form of one draw and one loss, though the limited data available means these forecasts should be treated with appropriate caution.
AI forecast for information and entertainment only — not betting advice and no guarantee of outcome. Please gamble responsibly. If gambling affects you or someone you know, support is available at GamCare (0808 8020 133) and GAMSTOP.
xgprophet · model poisson-v1.2 · predictions read from cached data, never live odds