PREDICTIONS/FIFA World Cup 2026
Tue, 23 Jun 2026 · 00:00 UTCGroup Stage - 2MetLife Stadium

Norway 3–2 Senegal result

Full-time result

Norway3–2Senegal✓ Outcome correct

xgprophet predicted 2-1 · outcome: Norway

Norway crest
NorwayNOR
PREDICTED2-1most-likely score58% confidence
Senegal crest
SenegalSEN
Norway predictions →Senegal predictions →
Post on X →
Outcome (1X2) accuracy 63% · 63 settledPast results do not guarantee future outcomes

Prediction vs actual

2-1
Predicted score
3–2
Actual score
2.4–1.5
Pre-match xG
✓
Outcome call

The match produced 5 goals, above our pre-match expected goals estimate of 3.9. Our Poisson model projected Norway to generate 2.4xG and Senegal 1.5xG. Norway's 3 goals came exceeding their pre-match xG projection; Senegal's 2 came against a projection of 1.5xG.

View our full accuracy record →

Win probability

58%
19%
23%
NOR win 58%Draw 19%SEN win 23%

What is 1X2? →

Model read

2.4–1.5
Expected goals
74%
Over 2.5
70%
Both score
58%
Confidence

Recent form

Norway

LWWLW

Senegal

LWLL

Analysis

Limited data — early in the competition

xgprophet's model makes Norway the 58% favourite on neutral ground, projecting a most-likely scoreline of 2-1. Over 2.5 goals is rated at 74% and both teams to score at 70%.

18+

AI forecast for information and entertainment only — not betting advice and no guarantee of outcome. Please gamble responsibly. If gambling affects you or someone you know, support is available at GamCare (0808 8020 133) and GAMSTOP.

xgprophet · model poisson-v1.2 · predictions read from cached data, never live odds