PREDICTIONS/FIFA World Cup 2026
Tue, 23 Jun 2026 · 23:00 UTCGroup Stage - 2BMO Field

Panama vs Croatia prediction

Panama crest
PanamaPAN
PREDICTED1-2most-likely score56% confidence
Croatia crest
CroatiaCRO

Win probability

22%
22%
56%
PAN win 22%Draw 22%CRO win 56%

Model read

1.22.0
Expected goals
62%
Over 2.5
61%
Both score
56%
Confidence

Recent form

Panama

L

Croatia

L

Analysis

Limited data — early in the competition

The model forecasts Croatia as clear favourites with a 56% win probability, though Panama's 22% chance reflects genuine uncertainty in a fixture with limited recent data. Expected goals of 1.2 for Panama and 2.0 for Croatia point to a most-likely scoreline of 1-2, with the model assigning 62% probability to over 2.5 goals and 61% to both teams scoring. Both sides arrive in poor form, having lost their most recent matches.

18+

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xgprophet · model poisson-v1.2 · predictions read from cached data, never live odds