PREDICTIONS/FIFA World Cup 2026
Tue, 23 Jun 2026 · 23:00 UTCGroup Stage - 2BMO Field

Panama 0–1 Croatia result

Full-time result

Panama0–1Croatia✓ Outcome correct

xgprophet predicted 1-2 · outcome: Croatia

Panama crest
PanamaPAN
PREDICTED1-2most-likely score56% confidence
Croatia crest
CroatiaCRO
Panama predictions →Croatia predictions →
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Outcome (1X2) accuracy 63% · 63 settledPast results do not guarantee future outcomes

Prediction vs actual

1-2
Predicted score
0–1
Actual score
1.2–2.0
Pre-match xG
✓
Outcome call

The match produced 1 goal, below our pre-match expected goals estimate of 3.2. Our Poisson model projected Panama to generate 1.2xG and Croatia 2.0xG. Panama's 0 goals came falling short of their pre-match xG projection; Croatia's 1 came against a projection of 2.0xG.

View our full accuracy record →

Win probability

22%
22%
56%
PAN win 22%Draw 22%CRO win 56%

What is 1X2? →

Model read

1.2–2.0
Expected goals
62%
Over 2.5
61%
Both score
56%
Confidence

Recent form

Panama

LLL

Croatia

LWWL

Analysis

Limited data — early in the competition

The model forecasts Croatia as clear favourites with a 56% win probability, though Panama's 22% chance reflects genuine uncertainty in a fixture with limited recent data. Expected goals of 1.2 for Panama and 2.0 for Croatia point to a most-likely scoreline of 1-2, with the model assigning 62% probability to over 2.5 goals and 61% to both teams scoring. Both sides arrive in poor form, having lost their most recent matches.

18+

AI forecast for information and entertainment only — not betting advice and no guarantee of outcome. Please gamble responsibly. If gambling affects you or someone you know, support is available at GamCare (0808 8020 133) and GAMSTOP.

xgprophet · model poisson-v1.2 · predictions read from cached data, never live odds