PREDICTIONS/FIFA World Cup 2026
Paraguay vs Australia prediction

ParaguayPAR
PREDICTED1-1most-likely score45% confidence

AustraliaAUS
Win probability
Model read
1.1–1.5
Expected goals
48%
Over 2.5
52%
Both score
45%
Confidence
Recent form
Paraguay
WL
Australia
LW
Analysis
Limited data — early in the competitionThe model forecasts Australia as slight favourites with a 45% win probability compared to Paraguay's 29%, though a draw is also plausible at 26%. Expected goals favour Australia (1.5 to 1.1), with the most likely outcome predicted as a 1-1 draw; both teams to score is forecast at 52% probability. Given limited recent form data, there is considerable uncertainty around this fixture.
18+
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xgprophet · model poisson-v1.2 · predictions read from cached data, never live odds