PREDICTIONS/FIFA World Cup 2026
Fri, 26 Jun 2026 · 02:00 UTCGroup Stage - 3Levi's Stadium

Paraguay 0–0 Australia result

Full-time result

Paraguay0–0Australia✗ Outcome incorrect

xgprophet predicted 1-1 · outcome: Australia

Paraguay crest
ParaguayPAR
PREDICTED1-1most-likely score45% confidence
Australia crest
AustraliaAUS
Paraguay predictions →Australia predictions →
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Outcome (1X2) accuracy 63% · 63 settledPast results do not guarantee future outcomes

Prediction vs actual

1-1
Predicted score
0–0
Actual score
1.1–1.5
Pre-match xG
✗
Outcome call

The match produced 0 goals, below our pre-match expected goals estimate of 2.6. Our Poisson model projected Paraguay to generate 1.1xG and Australia 1.5xG. Paraguay's 0 goals came falling short of their pre-match xG projection; Australia's 0 came against a projection of 1.5xG.

View our full accuracy record →

Win probability

29%
26%
45%
PAR win 29%Draw 26%AUS win 45%

What is 1X2? →

Model read

1.1–1.5
Expected goals
48%
Over 2.5
52%
Both score
45%
Confidence

Recent form

Paraguay

LDDWL

Australia

DDLW

Analysis

Limited data — early in the competition

The model forecasts Australia as slight favourites with a 45% win probability compared to Paraguay's 29%, though a draw is also plausible at 26%. Expected goals favour Australia (1.5 to 1.1), with the most likely outcome predicted as a 1-1 draw; both teams to score is forecast at 52% probability. Given limited recent form data, there is considerable uncertainty around this fixture.

18+

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xgprophet · model poisson-v1.2 · predictions read from cached data, never live odds