PREDICTIONS/FIFA World Cup 2026
Fri, 26 Jun 2026 · 02:00 UTCGroup Stage - 3Levi's Stadium

Paraguay vs Australia prediction

Paraguay crest
ParaguayPAR
PREDICTED1-1most-likely score45% confidence
Australia crest
AustraliaAUS

Win probability

29%
26%
45%
PAR win 29%Draw 26%AUS win 45%

Model read

1.11.5
Expected goals
48%
Over 2.5
52%
Both score
45%
Confidence

Recent form

Paraguay

WL

Australia

LW

Analysis

Limited data — early in the competition

The model forecasts Australia as slight favourites with a 45% win probability compared to Paraguay's 29%, though a draw is also plausible at 26%. Expected goals favour Australia (1.5 to 1.1), with the most likely outcome predicted as a 1-1 draw; both teams to score is forecast at 52% probability. Given limited recent form data, there is considerable uncertainty around this fixture.

18+

AI forecast for information and entertainment only — not betting advice and no guarantee of outcome. Please gamble responsibly. If gambling affects you or someone you know, support is available at GamCare (0808 8020 133) and GAMSTOP.

xgprophet · model poisson-v1.2 · predictions read from cached data, never live odds