Sun, 28 Jun 2026 · 19:00 UTCRound of 32SoFi Stadium

South Africa vs Canada prediction

South Africa crest
South AfricaSOU
PREDICTED0-1most-likely score57% confidence
Canada crest
CanadaCAN

Win probability

19%
24%
57%
SOU win 19%Draw 24%CAN win 57%

Model read

0.91.7
Expected goals
49%
Over 2.5
49%
Both score
57%
Confidence

Recent form

South Africa

WDL

Canada

LWD

Analysis

Model: poisson-v1.2

The model forecasts Canada as clear favourites with a 57% win probability, predicting an expected goals advantage of 1.7 to 0.9 in their favour and a most-likely scoreline of 0-1. South Africa's recent form shows inconsistency with one win, one draw and one loss, whilst Canada arrive with mixed results of one loss, one win and one draw. The match is expected to be relatively tight in terms of total goals, with the model assigning 49% probability to both over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.

18+

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xgprophet · model poisson-v1.2 · predictions read from cached data, never live odds