South Africa 1–0 South Korea result
Full-time result
xgprophet predicted 0-1 · outcome: South Korea
Prediction vs actual
The match produced 1 goal, below our pre-match expected goals estimate of 2.3. Our Poisson model projected South Africa to generate 0.8xG and South Korea 1.5xG. South Africa's 1 goal came inline with their pre-match projection; South Korea's 0 came against a projection of 1.5xG.
View our full accuracy record →Win probability
Model read
Recent form
South Africa
South Korea
Analysis
Limited data — early in the competitionThe model forecasts South Korea as clear favourites with a 52% win probability, predicting a most-likely scoreline of 0-1 and an expected goals advantage of 1.5 to 0.8. South Africa have a 21% chance of victory with a 26% draw probability, whilst there is a 44% probability of both teams scoring and a 41% chance of over 2.5 goals. Given limited recent form data, these projections should be treated as indicative rather than definitive.
AI forecast for information and entertainment only — not betting advice and no guarantee of outcome. Please gamble responsibly. If gambling affects you or someone you know, support is available at GamCare (0808 8020 133) and GAMSTOP.
xgprophet · model poisson-v1.2 · predictions read from cached data, never live odds