Sun, 19 Jul 2026 · 19:00 UTCFinalNeutral venue

Spain vs Argentina prediction

Spain crest
SpainSPA
PREDICTED1-0most-likely score51% confidence
Argentina crest
ArgentinaARG
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Outcome (1X2) accuracy 64% · 61 settledPast results do not guarantee future outcomes

Win probability

51%
29%
20%
SPA win 51%Draw 29%ARG win 20%

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Model read

1.30.7
Expected goals
33%
Over 2.5
37%
Both score
51%
Confidence

Recent form

Spain

WWWWW

Argentina

WWWWW

Analysis

Model: poisson-v1.2

The model forecasts a competitive encounter with Spain favoured at 51% win probability, though a draw remains likely at 29%. Spain's expected goals advantage of 1.3 to 0.7 underpins the most-likely outcome of a 1-0 victory, with both teams to score predicted at 37% and over 2.5 goals at 33%.

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xgprophet · model poisson-v1.2 · predictions read from cached data, never live odds