Spain vs Argentina prediction

SpainSPA
PREDICTED1-0most-likely score51% confidence

ArgentinaARG
Outcome (1X2) accuracy 64% · 61 settledPast results do not guarantee future outcomes
Win probability
Model read
1.3–0.7
Expected goals
33%
Over 2.5
37%
Both score
51%
Confidence
Recent form
Spain
WWWWW
Argentina
WWWWW
Analysis
Model: poisson-v1.2The model forecasts a competitive encounter with Spain favoured at 51% win probability, though a draw remains likely at 29%. Spain's expected goals advantage of 1.3 to 0.7 underpins the most-likely outcome of a 1-0 victory, with both teams to score predicted at 37% and over 2.5 goals at 33%.
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xgprophet · model poisson-v1.2 · predictions read from cached data, never live odds