Who will win Spain vs Austria?

xgprophet's model favours Spain at 74% (home 74% / draw 17% / away 9%).

What is the predicted score for Spain vs Austria?

The model's most-likely scoreline is 2-0.

PREDICTIONS/FIFA World Cup 2026

Thu, 2 Jul 2026 · 19:00 UTCRound of 32SoFi Stadium

Spain vs Austria prediction

SpainSPA

PREDICTED2-0most-likely score74% confidence

AustriaAUS

Spain predictions →Austria predictions →

Outcome (1X2) accuracy 61% · 31 settledPast results do not guarantee future outcomes

Win probability

74%

17%

SPA win 74%Draw 17%AUS win 9%

What is 1X2? →

Model read

2.2–0.6

Expected goals

54%

Over 2.5

41%

Both score

74%

Confidence

Recent form

Spain

WWD

Austria

DLW

Analysis

Model: poisson-v1.2

The model forecasts Spain as clear favourites, assigning them a 74% win probability with a most-likely scoreline of 2-0. Expected goals of 2.2 for Spain versus 0.6 for Austria reflect a significant quality gap, though the 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% chance of both teams scoring suggest Austria may create some opportunities despite their recent mixed form of one draw and one loss in their last three matches.

Explore more

All tips this weekend → · What is xG? →

More FIFA World Cup 2026 predictions

All fixtures →

19:00Sun, 28 Jun 2026South Africa0-1Canada 17:00Mon, 29 Jun 2026Brazil1-0Japan 20:30Mon, 29 Jun 2026Germany2-0Paraguay 01:00Tue, 30 Jun 2026Netherlands2-1Morocco 17:00Tue, 30 Jun 2026Ivory Coast1-1Norway

18+

AI forecast for information and entertainment only — not betting advice and no guarantee of outcome. Please gamble responsibly. If gambling affects you or someone you know, support is available at GamCare (0808 8020 133) and GAMSTOP.

xgprophet · model poisson-v1.2 · predictions read from cached data, never live odds