Spain vs Belgium prediction

Analysis

The model forecasts Spain as favourites, projecting a 56% win probability with an expected most-likely scoreline of 1-0. Spain's superior expected goals output of 1.4 compared to Belgium's 0.6 reflects their recent dominant form of four consecutive wins, whilst Belgium's recent record shows two draws in their last five matches. The probability of over 2.5 goals is relatively low at 33%, suggesting a controlled match with limited scoring opportunities.