PREDICTIONS/FIFA World Cup 2026
Fri, 3 Jul 2026 · 03:00 UTCRound of 32BC Place

Switzerland 2–0 Algeria result

Full-time result

Switzerland2–0Algeria✓ Outcome correct

xgprophet predicted 2-1 · outcome: Switzerland

Switzerland crest
SwitzerlandSWI
PREDICTED2-1most-likely score69% confidence
Algeria crest
AlgeriaALG
Switzerland predictions →Algeria predictions →
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Outcome (1X2) accuracy 63% · 63 settledPast results do not guarantee future outcomes

Prediction vs actual

2-1
Predicted score
2–0
Actual score
2.7–1.2
Pre-match xG
✓
Outcome call

The match produced 2 goals, below our pre-match expected goals estimate of 3.9. Our Poisson model projected Switzerland to generate 2.7xG and Algeria 1.2xG. Switzerland's 2 goals came falling short of their pre-match xG projection; Algeria's 0 came against a projection of 1.2xG.

View our full accuracy record →

Win probability

69%
16%
15%
SWI win 69%Draw 16%ALG win 15%

What is 1X2? →

Model read

2.7–1.2
Expected goals
74%
Over 2.5
65%
Both score
69%
Confidence

Recent form

Switzerland

LDWWW

Algeria

LDWL

Analysis

Model: poisson-v1.2

The model forecasts Switzerland as clear favourites with a 68% win probability and a most-likely scoreline of 2-1, supported by an expected goals advantage of 2.6 to 1.2. Switzerland's recent form of two wins and a draw contrasts with Algeria's mixed record, and the data suggests a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals with a 65% chance both teams will score.

18+

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xgprophet · model poisson-v1.2 · predictions read from cached data, never live odds