Switzerland 2–1 Canada result
Full-time result
xgprophet predicted 1-1 · outcome: Canada
Prediction vs actual
The match produced 3 goals, closely matching our pre-match expected goals estimate. Our Poisson model projected Switzerland to generate 1.5xG and Canada 1.8xG. Switzerland's 2 goals came exceeding their pre-match xG projection; Canada's 1 came against a projection of 1.8xG.
View our full accuracy record →Win probability
Model read
Recent form
Switzerland
Canada
Analysis
Limited data — early in the competitionThe model forecasts a competitive encounter with Canada favoured at 43% to win, though a Switzerland victory is assessed at 34% with a 23% draw probability. Expected goals of 1.8 for Canada and 1.5 for Switzerland suggest an open match, with the model indicating a 65% chance of both teams scoring and a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals. Both sides arrive in reasonable form with recent records of one win and one draw, though limited recent data means these projections should be treated with appropriate caution.
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xgprophet · model poisson-v1.2 · predictions read from cached data, never live odds