PREDICTIONS/FIFA World Cup 2026
Thu, 25 Jun 2026 · 23:00 UTCGroup Stage - 3Arrowhead Stadium

Tunisia vs Netherlands prediction

Tunisia crest
TunisiaTUN
PREDICTED0-4most-likely score93% confidence
Netherlands crest
NetherlandsNET

Win probability

93%
TUN win 2%Draw 5%NET win 93%

Model read

0.94.8
Expected goals
92%
Over 2.5
59%
Both score
93%
Confidence

Recent form

Tunisia

LL

Netherlands

WD

Analysis

Limited data — early in the competition

xgprophet's model makes Netherlands the 93% favourite on neutral ground, projecting a most-likely scoreline of 0-4. Over 2.5 goals is rated at 92% and both teams to score at 59%.

18+

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xgprophet · model poisson-v1.2 · predictions read from cached data, never live odds