Thu, 2 Jul 2026 · 00:00 UTCRound of 32Neutral venue

USA vs Bosnia & Herzegovina prediction

USA crest
USAUSA
PREDICTED2-1most-likely score64% confidence
Bosnia & Herzegovina crest
Bosnia & HerzegovinaBOS

Win probability

64%
18%
18%
USA win 64%Draw 18%BOS win 18%

Model read

2.61.4
Expected goals
76%
Over 2.5
69%
Both score
64%
Confidence

Recent form

USA

LWW

Bosnia & Herzegovina

WLD

Analysis

Model: poisson-v1.2

The xgprophet model forecasts a USA victory with a 64% win probability, predicting a most-likely scoreline of 2-1. Expected goals favour the hosts at 2.6 to 1.4, with the model assessing a 76% likelihood of over 2.5 goals and a 69% chance of both teams scoring. USA's recent form of two wins from their last three matches provides a marginal advantage over Bosnia & Herzegovina's mixed recent record.

18+

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xgprophet · model poisson-v1.2 · predictions read from cached data, never live odds