PREDICTIONS/FIFA World Cup 2026
Thu, 2 Jul 2026 · 00:00 UTCRound of 32Levi's Stadium

USA 2–0 Bosnia & Herzegovina result

Full-time result

USA2–0Bosnia & Herzegovina✓ Outcome correct

xgprophet predicted 2-1 · outcome: USA

USA crest
USAUSA
PREDICTED2-1most-likely score64% confidence
Bosnia & Herzegovina crest
Bosnia & HerzegovinaBOS
USA predictions →Bosnia & Herzegovina predictions →
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Outcome (1X2) accuracy 63% · 63 settledPast results do not guarantee future outcomes

Prediction vs actual

2-1
Predicted score
2–0
Actual score
2.6–1.4
Pre-match xG
✓
Outcome call

The match produced 2 goals, below our pre-match expected goals estimate of 4.0. Our Poisson model projected USA to generate 2.6xG and Bosnia & Herzegovina 1.4xG. USA's 2 goals came falling short of their pre-match xG projection; Bosnia & Herzegovina's 0 came against a projection of 1.4xG.

View our full accuracy record →

Win probability

64%
18%
18%
USA win 64%Draw 18%BOS win 18%

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Model read

2.6–1.4
Expected goals
76%
Over 2.5
69%
Both score
64%
Confidence

Recent form

USA

LWLWW

Bosnia & Herzegovina

LWLD

Analysis

Model: poisson-v1.2

The xgprophet model forecasts a USA victory with a 64% win probability, predicting a most-likely scoreline of 2-1. Expected goals favour the hosts at 2.6 to 1.4, with the model assessing a 76% likelihood of over 2.5 goals and a 69% chance of both teams scoring. USA's recent form of two wins from their last three matches provides a marginal advantage over Bosnia & Herzegovina's mixed recent record.

18+

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xgprophet · model poisson-v1.2 · predictions read from cached data, never live odds