Draw predictions

How the model works

Our public record: 64% match-outcome accuracy · 25 settled (World Cup 2026 to date)Past results do not guarantee future outcomes

Full-time draw tips for today and the next 48 hours, ranked by our Poisson model’s draw probability. Information only, not betting advice.

4-draw Pools selection

The four matches in the next 48 hours with the highest modelled draw probability — a Pools-style selection. Our model picks the four; the result still depends on the match.

21:0027 JunCroatia1-1Ghana30%Draw 23:3027 JunColombia1-1Portugal25%Draw 02:0028 JunAlgeria1-1Austria24%Draw 19:0028 JunSouth Africa0-1Canada24%Draw

All draw predictions — ranked

21:0027 JunCroatia1-1Ghana30%Draw 23:3027 JunColombia1-1Portugal25%Draw 02:0028 JunAlgeria1-1Austria24%Draw 19:0028 JunSouth Africa0-1Canada24%Draw 23:3027 JunCongo DR1-0Uzbekistan21%Draw 21:0027 JunPanama0-2England18%Draw 02:0028 JunJordan0-3Argentina8%Draw

xgprophet · Poisson model on cached data · 18+ · information only, not betting advice