Over 2.5 goals tips

How the model works

Our public record: 64% match-outcome accuracy · 25 settled (World Cup 2026 to date)Past results do not guarantee future outcomes

Matches in the next 48 hours ranked by our model’s probability of three or more goals (over 2.5). Each row also shows the over 1.5 probability — a lower bar that covers any two-goal game. Information only, not betting advice.

02:0028 JunJordan0-3Argentina71%O2.5 · O1.5 88%02:0028 JunAlgeria1-1Austria58%O2.5 · O1.5 80%23:3027 JunCongo DR1-0Uzbekistan53%O2.5 · O1.5 77%23:3027 JunColombia1-1Portugal51%O2.5 · O1.5 75%19:0028 JunSouth Africa0-1Canada48%O2.5 · O1.5 73%21:0027 JunPanama0-2England46%O2.5 · O1.5 71%21:0027 JunCroatia1-1Ghana35%O2.5 · O1.5 62%

Under 2.5 goals picks

Matches where the model gives the lowest over 2.5 probability — the best under 2.5 candidates from the same window.

21:0027 JunCroatia1-1Ghana65%U2.5 21:0027 JunPanama0-2England54%U2.5 19:0028 JunSouth Africa0-1Canada52%U2.5 23:3027 JunColombia1-1Portugal49%U2.5 23:3027 JunCongo DR1-0Uzbekistan47%U2.5 02:0028 JunAlgeria1-1Austria42%U2.5 02:0028 JunJordan0-3Argentina29%U2.5

xgprophet · Poisson model on cached data · 18+ · information only, not betting advice