Is double chance the same as draw no bet?

No. Draw no bet returns your stake if the match ends in a draw. Double chance 12 (home or away) does not — if the match draws, the 12 bet loses. However, 1X and X2 do cover the draw as one of their two outcomes.

Does double chance 12 include the draw?

No. Double chance 12 covers home win or away win only. A draw means the bet loses. If you want to include the draw, use 1X (home or draw) or X2 (draw or away) instead.

What does 1X mean in double chance?

1X covers home win or draw. The bet wins if the home team wins or the match ends level after 90 minutes of normal time. It only loses if the away team wins.

What is double chance in football betting?

Cover two of the three possible outcomes in one bet — 1X, X2, or 12 explained.

The definition

Double chance is a football betting market that lets you back two of the three possible match outcomes in a single bet. Because 1X2 has three possible results (home win, draw, away win), you can combine any two into one selection at reduced odds.

Selection	Covers	Loses if	Example win
1X	Home win or draw	Away team wins	Arsenal 1–0 or 1–1 Chelsea
X2	Draw or away win	Home team wins	Arsenal 1–1 or 0–1 Chelsea
12	Home win or away win	Match draws	Arsenal 2–0 or 0–1 Chelsea

Settlement is based on 90 minutes of normal time only, including referee-added injury time. Goals in extra time or penalty shoot-outs are not counted.

When does double chance make sense?

Double chance is most useful when the match is closely contested and the draw is a realistic outcome. In those situations, committing to a single result (1, X, or 2) carries more risk than the underlying probabilities justify.

xgprophet flags a prediction as low confidencewhen no single outcome exceeds 45% probability — for example, home 38% · draw 30% · away 32%. In matches like this, a double chance selection (1X or X2 or 12) covers at least 62% of the model’s probability space in a single bet.

The trade-off is straightforward: covering two outcomes means the odds are shorter than a straight 1X2 pick, because you are accepting a lower-risk position. This is a factual description of how the market is priced — not a recommendation to bet.

Double chance vs 1X2

In a standard 1X2 bet, you pick exactly one outcome and win only if that outcome occurs. The potential return is higher, but so is the chance of losing.

Double chance combines two 1X2 outcomes into one selection, which means:

The odds are lower (you are covering more of the probability space)
You need the result to go one of two ways instead of one specific way
The market settles on the same 90-minute basis as standard 1X2

Double chance is not the same as draw no bet. Draw no bet returns your stake on a draw; double chance 12 loses on a draw. See the FAQ below for details.

The xgprophet Poisson model outputs home, draw, and away probabilities for every tracked fixture. Adding those two figures together gives the implied double chance probability for any combination — for example, home 38% + draw 30% = 1X implied probability of 68%.

Frequently asked questions

Is double chance the same as draw no bet?: No. Draw no bet returns your stake if the match draws. Double chance 12 does not — a draw means the 12 bet loses. The selections 1X and X2 do include the draw as a winning outcome, but they are not the same structure as draw no bet.
Does double chance 12 include the draw?: No. Double chance 12 covers home win or away win only. A draw is a losing result for a 12 selection. Use 1X or X2 if you want the draw covered.
What does 1X mean in double chance?: 1X covers home win or draw. The bet wins if the home team wins or the match ends level after 90 minutes. It only loses if the away team wins.